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Arsenal – Aston Villa 17.08 – Premier League 1st round

Arsenal and Aston Villa will play together in the first round of the English Premier League in a match that promises to be extremely difficult to predict. The bad mood of Arsenal fans, caused from the lack of new additions to the team will undoubtedly reflect on the players and the atmosphere in the squad. On the other hand, the fans of the guests should be happy when their best player from last season Christian Benteke decided to stay at the club, although he had many offers.

Nevertheless, Arsenal showed very good pre-season game in the friendly matches they played. They even managed to beat Manchester City with 3-1 in their last match and in total played matches so far they made six wins, a draw and they lost once.

Aston Villa also conceded just one loss, but they made five draws and four wins in their matches.

It’s hard to find some value in the proposed by the bookmakers odds which seem to be absolutely accurate.

However, given the problems that Arsenal have with the absence of some key players like Arteta, Vermaelen and Sagna, and the unclear situation around Santi Cazorla and Theo Walcott, the chances of Aston Villa to get something from this match are getting bigger.

Arsene Wenger is an experienced manager and is aware that the result of this match is very important for him. He knows that an eventual victory on saturday would allow him to have more peaceful atmosphere to complete the so important for him selection. With so many injured defenders, I expect him to pull his midfield line a little further back to keep a clean sheet, relying on the quality of his players on the offensive plan.

This is why I would bet for less than 3 goals in this match. The odds for this bet is 1.925, which makes it quite interesting. However, the bet is risky, so I’ll play it with half of the maximum amount that I usually bet.

Here is a video from the last match between Arsenal and Aston Villa:

Other bets that I will make on the first day of the Premier League is a victory for Stoke away to Liverpool with a handicap of 1.5 and a draw of Sunderland and Fulham.

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