Mortal Kombat – final results

I had too much work this days and I totally forgot to write about our contest. I was reminded by my friend Sybin who called me few minutes ago and said: “Hey, aren’t you going to write about my victory?”. Yes, he got his point and he beat my girlfriend and even beat me, which is not good at all.

Here, I must say that he made good performance with 10 points and 120% ROI if he bet on every single match. Another thing I should underline here, is my opinion which is not less strong than before that Petya has talent. If, the matches finished until 75th minute she would won, but unfortunately her picks gone wrong after this period of match time.

However, if she wants I will try her ability again, cos I really believe in her. She got 5 correct picks in a row before this weekend, after all.

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The results from day 1 – all even

Yes, the battle finished equally after the first day. Petya got one perfect score with 2:0 for Tottenham and another correct pick with the win for Aston Villa. That means 4 points – 3 for the correct result and one for the correct winner.

Me and Sybin got 4 correct winners and that means 4 points too.

The battle between the football knowledge and women’s instinct continues.

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OK, the big battle is ready to begin

As I wrote yesterday my girlfriend has been chalenged by one of my closest friends to a battle – who can guess more matches from Premier League. I am also in, but just for fun – the clash is only between them.

Here is a screen shot of their picks and mine too – Petya is my girlfriend, Sybin is the friend and Petar is me 🙂

Date
Match
1
X
2
Petya
Sybin
Petar
07.11.2009 16:00
Aston Villa – Bolton
1.76
3.46
4.61
3:0
2:0
2:0
07.11.2009 16:00
Blackburn – Portsmouth
2.08
3.26
3.51
0:2
2:0
2:1
07.11.2009 16:00
Manchester City – Burnley
1.32
4.73
10.01
1:0
3:1
3:0
07.11.2009 16:00
Tottenham – Sunderland
1.54
3.76
6.32
2:0
2:1
3:0
07.11.2009 18:30
Wolves – Arsenal
8.21
4.47
1.38
1:1
0:3
1:3
08.11.2009 14:30
Hull – Stoke
2.73
3.2
2.54
0:2
0:0
2:1
08.11.2009 16:00
West Ham – Everton
2.42
3.22
2.84
1:1
1:2
1:1
08.11.2009 16:00
Wigan – Fulham
2.27
3.21
3.11
1:0
1:1
0:0
08.11.2009 17:00
Chelsea – Manchester Utd
2.02
3.24
3.73
2:2
1:1
0:1
09.11.2009 21:00
Liverpool – Birmingham
1.33
4.63
9.72
0:2
2:1
5:1

Let the force be with us and who is better to win ( I have no doubts that will be Petya) 🙂

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My girlfriend has talent :)

The heading is correct, no doubt at it. Believe it or not she got 4 perfect bets in a row. The system is clear. Every day, I ask her about a match, which I chose randomly and she give me the exact score. Until now she has two perfect scores and two right guesses of match winner.

The matches are Inter – Dinamo Kiev 2:2 (exact score); Milan – Real Madrid 1:1 (exact score); Dinamo Kiev – Inter 1:2 (she guessed 0:2) and Hamburger – Celtic 0:0 (she guessed 1:1). For today I asked her about Leverkusen – Frankfurt match and she predicted 1:0. Let see what will happen.

The story is going bigger and bigger. A friend of mine doesn’t believe me and challenged her to a big contest. They will both predict this weekend matches from England Premier League and we will see who is better – he or she 🙂 I definitely bet all my money for her.

The story will continue tomorrow.

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Hotmatches is back, but…

OK, my method of making picks is ready to be used again, but I have several marks here. First of all I have made some filters to sort out which match will be used and which wouldn’t. However, those filters are not ready yet. They will be after a mount and then hotmatches will be 100% sure way of betting.

The other thing which is different is that I have change the percentage of every bet. I will use small bank now, just to try the system before all filters are ready, so my bet will be 10% of the bank.

I know it is too much, but we will see.

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Milan – Real Madrid 2

I will give here a really strange explanation why I believe this match is away win, but I am almost sure it will end at this way. Here I go. I believe both big teams have decided to split the wins to avoid any danger come to the other two teams in the group.

I’ve seen something like this few years ago when Bayern was involved, but I can’t recall the other team. Then Bayern was huge favorite at home, but they lost. The second match also finished with away win.

However, the odds for Real are pretty good with 2.6 for win and I will try it.

Hotmatches is coming soon

The last month I spent making my new database. As I expected this new version give 100% different results than the first one. The reason for that is simple: betexplorer changed the number of bookies they use for making average odds.

However, my new database is almost ready and soon I will start making my picks again in hotmaches page. I am sure thay will be better even compared with my picks six monts ago because when the previous database failed I found out some really good hints to improve the results, which I will use again.

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New database

Finally, I found why betsurf hot matches doesn’t work recently

Big guns win 70% of matches in Premiership

I was really surprised today when I checked the results from first seven rounds in English Premier League. It is really huge result and I am very dissapointed that I missed that profit.

69.7% of matches finished with wins for the favorites, 6.06% with draw and just 24.24% finished with win for the underdogs.

Now the question is will those result happen again in the next few rounds and the tendency will continue or we will see more underdogs wins? The other thing that a punter must think about is just 4 draws in 66 matches so far. What will happen with next matches?

A perfect example why we should avoid Martingale

I made a research inspired by a betting forum article for using martingale with big favorites. The idea is simple you take 5 big guns and bet for them using martingale. I switch the research using another method, but with the same idea.
I bet on every favorite below 1.5 coefficient and using my soccer database to make selection. Where the odds shown by my database are higher than those given by the bookies I bet on this match.
The only condition is in the section of the database which I will use to have at least 20 games.
When two or more matches are being played at the same time I will bet on the first on the table in today