Back to the past

After a few successful trials, the soccer hotmatches had two really bad months. In order to get back on track, I decided to return to an older soccer database, with strong hope that this will give me again those 130-180% ROI which I’ve got in the beginning of the year.

Crossing fingers.

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18% pure profit when betting on soccer underdogs

In my last post I wrote about my research on soccer betting and my soccer database. It wasn’t good enough, but there is profit. I found out that I made a mistake with the way of betting and not with the games I picked.

So, if I’d bet on single for the underdogs, instead of doubles with draw, I would have 35 winners and ROI of 118.63% with 1% of the bank, used for every bet.

Of course this result is only from 100 matches. I will continue with searching.

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Betting on underdogs using betsuf database

A few weeks ago I started a research using my soccer database. Until now I’ve used it only to find profit on favorites and there was some success. Betting on underdogs could be profitable too, but the punter must use the correct betting system and money management.

For my research I bet on 100 matches using doubles (draw and back the underdog) and only draws, using 3% on the bank on every bet. As a conclusion I can say that the draw betting was a mistake, I lost everything on the half way. The double betting was a bit better, but again with bad result. The ROI is about 80%. In the beginning the results were great and there was near 30% profit, but then the results got worse.

However, there is profit because 30+ of those games, predicted by my database as profitable when betting on underdogs finished with win for the underdogs. Most of the odds are high above 3, which will give good profit. I will check this later and I will try again.

Here is the table with matches:

Date
Campionship
Match
0.5
X K.
0.5 K.
Res.
X Bank
0.5 Bank
X +
0.5 +
No
X + %
0.5 + %
X ROI
0.5 ROI
6.06
MLS
Salt Lake – Colorado
X2
1.7
1:1
23.45
56
100
0.00
56.00
0.00
78.17
6.06
Spa. 2nd
Albacete – Murcia
X2
1.58
0:0
22.75
55
99
0.00
55.56
0.00
75.83
6.06
World Cup
Macedonia – Norway
1X
1.55
0:0
22.17
54
98
0.00
55.10
0.00
73.90
5.06
MLS
Chicago – Houston
X2
1.6
0:1
21.62
53
97
0.00
54.64
0.00
72.07
5.06
Ire.
Galway – Drogheda
X2
1.6
1:1
20.62
52
96
0.00
54.17
0.00
68.73
5.06
Ire.
Sligo – Derry City
1

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DNB and Hotmatches!

A month ago I thought Betsurf Hot Matches as small profitable, but secure way of betting. From the beginning of April till now the results are jumping like crazy animals

To bet on underdog draws using Betsurf database

I was too excited yesterday, but unfortunately I had to cool my head and to see the reality. The first 11 days of April showed ROI better than 120%, when I checked the system I wrote about yesterday. The result for the whole month are not so good with ROI 98.9%.

However, the system is interesting and I will continue on a paper sheet to see what will happen.

I will follow those matches using pure draw system and Asian handicap for the underdog. 3% of the bank will be used for every bet. Crossing fingers.

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To make profit from soccer draws

I really think that I found something interesting for betting on draw games, using my soccer database. It is a funny story, because I searched for something else, which happened to be completely wrong, but at the end it was a happy end. Here is the story.

Until now, I use my soccer database searching for profit on betting for favorites. You can see the result in my section soccer hotmatches. The system is simple. When, I find a match where the odds for the favorite are better than the percents in my soccer database I bet on that team.

Yesterday, I decided to turn the page and to start searching for some profit betting on underdogs, using the same system. I checked the first eleven days of April and I found about 50 matches, then I checked the results. The ROI of betting on underdogs was really poor. Just 71%, but the draws in those matches was profitable.19 draws from 49 matches and 122.1% ROI.

I was even more amazed when I checked the results from yesterday. I found 11 matches that the soccer database shows as profitable underdogs and from those 11 matches

How I

Few days ago I wanted to post about my previous sequence of 100 soccer hotmatches, where I got only 86% of ROI. The post would be with some stats and analysis why those bad results happened. However, the sequence now shows incredible results of 188% ROI, so I decided to write about the soccer database, which makes this result possible. I am pretty sure such a database is unique and I am also sure it can be profitable.

There is something I am not sure about and this is: Do I use that database correctly? I think that if a punter better than me take a look in it he or she will find some better way to bet.

OK, first of all few words about how I make it. You can easily see that the database is divided with sectors. Few of them represent the coefficient for the favorites and few of them shows some strange sectors. F.e. here is a part from the database:

1
2
3
4
5
6
2.06