17% profit so far in my basketball under-over research

I cannot say I am satisfied with the results from this research. I definitely expected more from Gauss less square approximate method. I see that there is profit, but I expected more. Even so, 17% pure profit from 31 matches with betting on under over in basketball is not bad.
Here are the stats.

% L + %i L + G L + Gm L + Avg. L + Avg.m L +
61.3 54.8 41.9 58 45.1 38.7

If we start talking in profit percentage, best results shows my old method of betting, where you betting under or over depends from all previous matches for both teams. The profit there is 17%. However, as I learned from previous NBA regular season this method is going to be less profitable at the end of the season, because bookies start to level under

Research about basketball under – over betting

I am starting a quick research on a few different strategies about betting on under or over at basketball games. I will use WNBA because it is only one major championship where matches are on right now. Few words about those different strategies: the first one I have used before in NBA last regular season. I follow the under

A quiz for punters

nba chart for under and over

nba chart for under and over

  • Can you make money from this chart above? It is for under over betting in the whole regular season in NBA. The yellow line represents over endings, the pink one is for under rating and the blue one is the percent between them. I must say here that the chart is divided by periods of 60 matches in NBA and the yellow and pink lines are the matches multiplied twice
  • Finally, there is profit with streaks in NBA

    Finally I found some profit in under over streaks in NBA. The trick is to bet on every 5th game in the row and to place only one bet. Not more, only one bet. However, the ROI is so small, that it is not worth to play it at all. If, I have to talk with numbers the ROI is exactly 105.82%.

    Not so good for the entire regular season.

    So, I have to say it. I am really disappointed. I have read so many times the streaks are the best way of betting. Things like a punter will always has profit if the bet is placed on the 4th match in the row etc, but all of this is simply not correct for under

    NBA under – over percentage

    There are only 12 games left in NBA regular season, so now is the time for post season analysis. I post few week ago for the percentage of under

    Betting on Under – Over streaks in NBA

    I’m sure you all have read about how to bet on streaks and that there are some great systems where we all can win money if we use them.

    More about my simple betting system

    Yesterday when I read the comment by Robert (thank you for your interest:)) about my simple NBA betting system I started to think about other sports and leagues where this system can be used. Few words about this system. It is really easy. When I am going to bet I check the percent of under and over endings for both teams in the match. If the sum for over percent is higher I bet over, if it is under I bet under.

    The system is profitable. It gives around 50-50 which I use in modified for safety reasons martingale system. For example, yesterday I had 9 winners and only 1 lose. It was really pleasure to watch the games 🙂

    OK about the system in other sports and leagues.

    First of all the news are not good. I can see this system working only in NBA and WNBA. Probably it can be used in NCAAB, but the odds there are lower than in NBA. At the other hand this is not a problem for martingale.

    In Europe we also have basketball leagues where I can try with this system, but here the problem is very few matches in those leagues. For example every team in NBA play more than 90 matches per year (including play-offs), in Germany the regular season is 34 games for every team. 34 games is the season in Israel too, but I am not 100% sure about it.

    Where is the problem when you have only 34 matches. It is simply uncomfortable. The punter must wait for minimum 10 games for safety reasons and to be clearer which team in which direction, under or over is going and after this the punter will have only 24 games left to bet.

    May be Korea is a variant with 54 games for every team, but the season there starts in August. I found those leagues in bet365, may be somewhere a bookie offers more leagues.

    I will post more about other sports tomorrow, but by now I saw opportunity only in handball. Tennis, soccer and Ice Hockey does not work at all and the reason is the fixed score (2,5 for soccer, 5,5 for hockey) and odds between 1,4 to 2,2.


    A simple NBA betting system

    No football matches today, so it is perfect time for a NBA post. Now, it is about under-over betting and a system that I use and a system that gives me really good profit. It is really simple. First of all I follow all the matches in the league and write down on an excel table, for every team

    Bet on underdog at home! True or false? The answer about NBA

    I wrote few days ago that I’ve read something about this old betting rule –