Shouldn’t we bet on French League?

Is there something special in French League 1. I found an article in another blog that we shouldn

Back the favorites!

I found something that really hit me in the head. I started a paper sheet project a few weeks ago. Short explanation: the project is something about soccer betting on all favorites where the odds for them are over 2.2. What a big surprise came when I saw the first 60 games with more than 50% wins for the favorites. Here are the games:

If this continues, it will be really strange, but really nice also 🙂

1
Jap. Cup
Niigata – Yokohama
1
0:3
0
0
2
Jap. Cup
Kashiva – Kobe
1
3:0
1
50
3
Jap. 2nd
Yokohama – Fukuoka
1
0:1
1
33.33
4
Jap. 2nd
Gifu – Mito
2
1:1
1
25
5
World Cup
Costa Rika – USA
1
3:1
2
40
6
Bra.
Santo Andres – Santos
2
3:3
2
33.33
7
Pol. 2nd
Jastrzebie – Katowice
1
0:1
2
28.57
8
Pol. 2nd
Swinoujscie – Zaglebie
1
2:3
2
25
9
World Cup
North Korea – Iran
2
0:0
2
22.22
10
World Cup
Malawi – Burkina Faso
1
0:1
2
20
11
Cze. 2nd
Sparta Prague B – Dukla
1
1:0
3
27.27
12
World Cup
Gabon – Togo
1
3:0
4
33.33
13
World Cup
Macedonia – Norway
2
0:0
4
30.77
14
Ita. 2nd
Ancona – Rimini
1
1:1
4
28.57
15
World Cup
Lithuania – Romania
2
0:1
5
33.33
16
World Cup
Cyprus – Montenegro
1
2:2
5
31.25
17
World Cup
Uruguay – Brazil
2
0:4
6
35.29
18
World Cup
Trinidad & Tobago – Costa Rica
2
2:3
7
38.89
19
MLS
Kansas City – Columbus
1
0:2
7
36.84
20
Jap. Cup
Yamagata – Kashiwa
1
1:1
7
35
21
Jap. Cup
Kobe – Shimizu
2
1:2
8
38.1
22
Jap. 2nd
Toyama Kataller – Verdy
2
0:3
9
40.91
23
Jap. 2nd
Fukuoka – Kusatsu
1
1:2
9
39.13
24
Euro U21
Kazakhstan 21 – Montenegro 21
1
0:2
9
37.5
25
Swe. 2nd
Ljungskile – Norrk?ping
1
2:2
9
36
26
Nor. 2nd
Tromsdalen – H?nefoss
2
0:1
10
38.46
27
Nor. 2nd
Alta – Sarpsborg
1
3:0
11
40.74
28
Nor. 2nd
Stavanger IF – Bryne
2
0:2
12
42.86
29
Spa. 2nd
Eibar – Girona
2
2:2
12
41.38
30
Bra.
Sport Recife – Flamengo
1
4:2
13
43.33
31
Ita. 2nd
Grosseto – Livorno
1
2:0
14
45.16
32
World Cup
Mali – Ghana
1
0:2
14
43.75
33
World Cup
Algeria – Egypt
2
3:1
14
42.42
34
World Cup
Peru – Ecuador
2
1:2
15
44.12
35
Bra.
Fluminense – Botafogo
1
1:0
16
45.71
36
Swe. 2nd
Trollh?ttan FC – Angelholms
2
1:2
17
47.22
37
Swe. 2nd
Syrianska FC – Sundsvall
1
1:2
17
45.95
38
Lit.
Kruoja Pakruojis – Siauliai
2
0:5
18
47.37
39
Dan. 2nd
AB Copenhagen – Herfolge
1
0:4
18
46.15
40
Rom.
FC Brasov – FC Timisoara
2
1:0
18
45
41
Rom.
CS Otopeni – Farul
1
6:0
19
46.34
42
Rom.
G. Buzau – G. Bistrita
2
2:1
19
45.24
43
Rom.
Unirea – Steaua Bucharest
2
1:1
19
44.19
44
World Cup
Ecuador – Argentina
2
2:0
19
43.18
45
World Cup
Venezuela – Uruguay
2
2:2
19
42.22
46
Lat.
Daugava Riga – Tranzits Ventspils
1
2:0
20
43.48
47
Swe. 2nd
J?nk?pings – Mj?llby
2
0:3
21
44.68
48
Ita. 2nd
Brescia – Empoli
1
3:0
22
45.83
49
Bul.
Slavia Sofia – Lok. Sofia
2
2:2
22
44.9
50
Bul.
Spartak Varna – Litex Lovech
2
0:4
23
46
51
Ice.
Fjolnir – Fylkir
2
1:3
24
47.06
52
Nor. 2nd
H?nefoss – Ham-Kam
1
1:1
24
46.15
53
Ire. Cup
Tralee Dynamos – Salthill Devon
1
2:1
25
47.17
54
Spa. 2nd
Murcia – Salamanca
1
2:1
26
48.15
55
Rom. Cup
CFR Cluj – FC Timisoara
1
3:0
27
49.09
56
Bra.
Botafogo – Santos
1
2:0
28
50
57
MLS
DC United – Chicago
1
2:1
29
50.88
58
MLS
Kansas City – New England
1
3:1
30
51.72
59
MLS
Dallas – Houston
2
1:3
31
52.54
60
Jap. 2nd
Tochigi SC – Tosu
2
0:5
32
53.33

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My biggest mistake with martingale

Right now, I am watching the snooker match between Dave Harold and Stephen Maguire and I remembered what I did few year ago. I want to share this with you, because it is very funny. I had brilliant idea about martingale system and I could not resist to try it which led to my biggest failure in betting.

I remember I walked on the street and thought something like: “Wow, this is great it can not be wrong. I am going to succeed”, well, now I am laughing for this street walk few years ago. I remembered a joke now about succeed, but you will find it on the bottom of this post 🙂 .

Then I also watched snooker and I found out that the underdog has more than 2 coefficient to win in every frame and also even Ronnie lose some frames, so my idea was simply to bet in live martingale for the underdog. Of course the betting would stop when the underdog get a frame in 5 from 9 games and some frames in longer games.

Even now, I do believe there is some point in this system, but I don’t dare to try it again. What happened? Neel Robertson played with some player, I can’t recall his name now and easily won with 5-0 and I lost everything I had.

However, I must say it again, this system can be profitable, but it has to be played very carefully.

Now, the joke. May be many of you know about it, but anyway. So, we have a man climbing Everest. On the 4000 meters a beautiful blond woman stop him and told him: “Do you want sex with me or you want to succeed?” The man answered: “I want to succeed!”. The same situation happened again on the 6000 meters, but with beautiful brown hair woman and the answer was the same.

The final result here is that on the top of Everest, strong black man came up and simply said to the man: “Hello, my friend. My name is Seed!” 🙂 That is 🙂

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