Under-over researching results after 66 games

What is going on with my research about betting on under or over in Basketball? Nothing so special, I would say, and the reason for that is the fact that the ROI has dropped from 17% to just four percents. However, there is good news and this is Gauss method for least square approximation. This is the most profitable method. Yes, with just four percents ROI, but it is a start. May be the way that the data is being collected is wrong, or maybe 4% is not so small profit. We will see.

Here are the results:

Under-over percentages from previous matches give 95.5 ROI
Under-over percentages from previous special matches give 101.3 ROI
Gauss method with data collected from last 10 matches for every team give 104 ROI
Gauss method with data collected from last 10 mutual games give 98.39 ROI
Average score made by teams in last 10 games for every team give 101.29 ROI
Average score made by teams in last 10 mutual games give 89.71 ROI

The last row is really a surprise for me. How is it possible the average for mutual games to be the worst result? Really strange, but a fact.


Should we start betting under on WNBA matches?

I am asking myself this question right now and the reason is simple. If you take a look at the table below you will see that the gap between matches finished over and under has never been so huge like right now. As far as I remember some previous seasons in NBA and WNBA the bookies are trying to hold the percentages 50-50 between unders and overs.

Would it be the same way this year? I do not know, but I will try it.

Here is the table:

Los Angeles
New York
San Antonio

If we speak in general all under finished games are 43.6% and over finished games are, well here the math is easy ?

So, if those numbers above must go to 50-50 percent there is clear profit. I will try it. Crossing fingers.


17% profit so far in my basketball under-over research

I cannot say I am satisfied with the results from this research. I definitely expected more from Gauss less square approximate method. I see that there is profit, but I expected more. Even so, 17% pure profit from 31 matches with betting on under over in basketball is not bad.
Here are the stats.

% L + %i L + G L + Gm L + Avg. L + Avg.m L +
61.3 54.8 41.9 58 45.1 38.7

If we start talking in profit percentage, best results shows my old method of betting, where you betting under or over depends from all previous matches for both teams. The profit there is 17%. However, as I learned from previous NBA regular season this method is going to be less profitable at the end of the season, because bookies start to level under

Result on my research after 18 games in WNBA

Last week my betting study was occupied only with the research in basketball under or over ending. I wrote a few times about it and I will do it now, again. It is time for evaluation after the first 18 matches already played.

I won’t be explaing again which methods I use. You can read more about them here.

There is 16.1% profit in two of the profits. The other four are below the line after those 18 games. However, as we all know we have to wait for the final matches for making analysis.

Here is the table with the result after 18 games in percentages:

% L +
%i L +
G L +
Gm L +
Avg. L +
Avg.m L +

One mark here. All odds here are 1.91


Results from my basketball betting research

It is a bit strange for me but my basketball under over research shows similar results. I use 6 methods for picking matches and all of them give results around 50%. This of course is 100% unsatisfying, but my research will continue.

Here are the results after 9 matches on WNBA:

When I use my old method with all previous matches

Phoenix made profit. Finally!

As I posted earlier I was going to bet on Under for Phoenix with Martinagale. Finally it gave profit and I am satisfied with full pockets. 🙂

Crossing fingers this to continue.


Research about basketball under – over betting

I am starting a quick research on a few different strategies about betting on under or over at basketball games. I will use WNBA because it is only one major championship where matches are on right now. Few words about those different strategies: the first one I have used before in NBA last regular season. I follow the under

Bet under on Phoenix matches in WNBA

I am going to bet under on next five Phoenix games with martingale. I know it is a bit dangerous and I can lose all my bank, but I’ve got some reasons. From the beginning of WNBA Phoenix played 8 matches and all of them are over.

The longest strike of over I know about was New York’s last season with 12 overs in a row.

I think Phoenix will make at least one under in the next few games. So, crossing fingers.


Under – over profit in Spanish handball league

Few weeks ago I started to search for continuation of my simple NBA betting system. I found out something that most of you already know

A quiz for punters

nba chart for under and over

nba chart for under and over

  • Can you make money from this chart above? It is for under over betting in the whole regular season in NBA. The yellow line represents over endings, the pink one is for under rating and the blue one is the percent between them. I must say here that the chart is divided by periods of 60 matches in NBA and the yellow and pink lines are the matches multiplied twice