Sports Betting Blog

13.04.2009

Bad result in Hot Matches

Filed under: Betting,Football — Tags: , , , , — admin @ 8:49

Until today Hot Matches was going great with profit in all sequence, but the last 102 games was not so good at all. The ROI is 89% with 1% of the bank for every bet and only 41% with 5% of the bank used for every bet.

I must apologise to everyone who have used those picks and I hope there will be no more bad results. You can see the past results of Hot Matches here

Right now I am doing some research about those 102 matches I have bet in that sequence with the idea to try to avoid losses, but I will post what I have found later. The reasons for that are two. First I want to take a deeper look and second, it’s

08.04.2009

Bet on underdog at home! True or false? The answer about NHL

Filed under: Betting — Tags: , , , , , — admin @ 10:36

The old rule in betting to bet for the underdog at home is going to be huge mistake. As I wrote few days ago if a punter did this in NBA he or she will lose 14% of the bank. Almost the same thing will happen in NHL. The ROI there if you bet for the underdog at home is 85.2%.

289 games where played by now and only 92 were winners and 197 were losers.

If we take a deeper look NY Islanders are the best underdog at home in NHL. 11 winners from 27 matches, but this team also gives poor profit. The ROI is only 92.8%.

Atlanta has 9 winners at home as underdog, Phoenix, St. Luis and Toronto have 8 winners, but the ROI is simply not good enough to bet.

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07.04.2009

Betting on rock bottom team

Filed under: Betting — Tags: , , , , — admin @ 13:43

This post is not mine I just read it recently, I like it and I want to share it with you. The post is from Ed’s betting blog. Here is the story:

One of the first rules in online betting is not to bet against a rock bottom team. This is usually taken for granted but too many times have the punters lost their money disregarding this rule. We will try to give you some insight into this matter and help you take this more seriously.

Even though many punters believe that the teams destined for relegation have nothing to play for, this is not entirely true. The players know that the only chance to stay in the league is to impress the visiting scouts and possible future employers and that is one of the reasons why they excel in the closing stages of the league campaign. This is something you should look for as the aforementioned players could be even more motivated than their opponents.

The teams that have lost all the chances to stay in the league are no longer under any pressure as their destiny is already determined, and we all know how much better a team play when the players are under no pressure. Teams in this situation are likely to risk more as they have nothing to lose and that can produce very good results.

The stronger teams also tend to underestimate these rock bottom teams and they usually do not take the game seriously, which later comes back to haunt them. Underestimating your opponent is probably the worst thing you can do in football, as it is enough for the weaker team to score an early goal and then they are very hard to break due to the very defensive approach they are likely to adopt after scoring the goal.

These are just some guidelines you should have in mind when placing your bets but ultimately, it is up to you to assess all the facts and see if it is worth betting against a rock bottom team.

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05.04.2009

United always wins!!!

Filed under: Betting,Football — Tags: , , , , — admin @ 19:14

Manchester United scored late goal to win against Aston Villa just few minutes ago. They probably will be on the first place in the Premier League after the last round, but this is not so important to me. Actually, as a fan of Arsenal this is awful situation, but this is the life. What is more important for me than this to see United again on the top is the next question.

Do you know the fact that United is a team which has not have sequence of five games without a win in the last 10 years?

I checked only the last ten, but there are may be more years without five games in a row without win for the red devils, which is great for martingale if you have enough money and balls to try it.
So, I checked what would be happened if I was played for United with martingale this year. Until today I would have ROI

03.04.2009

A simple snooker betting system

Filed under: Betting,Snooker — Tags: , , , , — admin @ 11:08

Few days ago I wrote about my biggest mistake in martingale. I made it betting on snooker. Now, I bet on snooker in different way and I want to write about it. The system is really simple. I play only live and I play for the winner in every frame, if the odds allow me to do it.

I bet for the underdog in the frame when the odds reach some level. You know that when a player is on the table and make points after points the odds for the player who sits on his chair are going higher and higher. Here is my point. I simply wait until the odds reach the level I want and I bet for the underdog in this frame. Sometimes it is really nice to bet for Ronnie on 5 coefficient :) .

Here is the example from today. 5 minutes ago the match between Stephen Hendry and Peter Ebdon finished. Ebdon won by 5:1, but the game was great and I think Hendry lost the match almost without making a single huge mistake.

What happened with my betting? Usually I bet when the odds go to 3 for the underdog. Today I did it with 5 coefficient for win for the man on the chair. Actually, sometimes the difference between 3 and 5 is about tho shots. It is about a punter’s stile of betting. If the punter want more bets and a bit safer then bet when the odds are lower, if you want bigger coefficients, just wait for few shots. However, the ROI is almost the same – about 120% in both ways.

So I wait until the odds are 5 for the underdog.

Frame 1: I bet for Hendry with coefficient of 5.5. The result at this time was 0-40 for Ebdon. I lost. Total for this match -1 unit.
Frame 2: I bet for Hendry with coefficient of 5.5. The result at this time was 0-18 for Ebdon. I lost. Total for this match -2 units.
Frame 3: I bet for Ebdon with coefficient of 5. The result at this time was 0-23 for Hendry. I won. Total for this match +2 units.
Frame 4: The bookie did not offer coefficient more than 3.75, so I did not bet.
Frame 5: The bookie did not offer coefficient more than 3.75, so I did not bet.
Frame 6: I bet for Hendry with coefficient of 5. The result at this time was 9-34 for Ebdon. I lost. Total for today +1 unit.

That is. I bet on straight 100 bets and then I calculate the ROI. The last sequence of 100 bets gave me 123.5 ROI.

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