I know that from my experience. A punter finds a way to bet and finally a system that works looks perfect and the future seems bright. The punter starts making tips and fortunately the profit is rising, but there is a moment when all of this is not enough anymore. After a period of money increasing everything goes back and even below the bank the punter started with.
Why does it happen? Many people would say that the system is simply not good enough or the punter’s skills aren’t good, but the truth is different. I think that the most important fact here is the exhaustion which is getting stronger and stronger and reduce the punter’s betting ability. This is something inevitable and unfortunately it is the reason for failing of many good systems.
What can we do about it? There are two methods I use to avoid this symptom. First, I make some pick systems where my mind is not occupied with the match. I don’t think about who is in better form, who is injured etc. I just put all the numbers my system requires and I just wait for the results to come. This is a really hard way, because it needs months of hard work for finding the correct system and filters to clean the system for better results.
I have been doing this for two years and I am still working on that.
The other method is to use a betting help site, which provides picks. There are lots of benefits doing so. First, you don’t bother with team news and stats – you just follow your system. Second, those sites are using many punters, so the factor tiredness is no longer important. You just have to apply the picks they give. Of course, we mustn’t forget the fact, that those sites hire really good punters, who know much about betting and most importantly they have better sources of information, than a regular punter has.
I have been using bettingchoice.co.uk for one of my football betting systems and I must say I am satisfied with the results. The fact, that I don’t make those tips gives me the time to concentrate on my under-over betting in NBA and at the same time I make profit from both systems, which is really good. My ROI from NBA betting is about 23% and the result from football betting is about 25% profit.
I had too much work this days and I totally forgot to write about our contest. I was reminded by my friend Sybin who called me few minutes ago and said: “Hey, aren’t you going to write about my victory?”. Yes, he got his point and he beat my girlfriend and even beat me, which is not good at all.
Here, I must say that he made good performance with 10 points and 120% ROI if he bet on every single match. Another thing I should underline here, is my opinion which is not less strong than before that Petya has talent. If, the matches finished until 75th minute she would won, but unfortunately her picks gone wrong after this period of match time.
However, if she wants I will try her ability again, cos I really believe in her. She got 5 correct picks in a row before this weekend, after all.
Yes, the battle finished equally after the first day. Petya got one perfect score with 2:0 for Tottenham and another correct pick with the win for Aston Villa. That means 4 points – 3 for the correct result and one for the correct winner.
Me and Sybin got 4 correct winners and that means 4 points too.
The battle between the football knowledge and women’s instinct continues.
As I wrote yesterday my girlfriend has been chalenged by one of my closest friends to a battle – who can guess more matches from Premier League. I am also in, but just for fun – the clash is only between them.
Here is a screen shot of their picks and mine too – Petya is my girlfriend, Sybin is the friend and Petar is me
|
Date
|
Match
|
1
|
X
|
2
|
Petya
|
Sybin
|
Petar
|
|
07.11.2009 16:00
|
Aston Villa – Bolton
|
1.76
|
3.46
|
4.61
|
3:0
|
2:0
|
2:0
|
|
07.11.2009 16:00
|
Blackburn – Portsmouth
|
2.08
|
3.26
|
3.51
|
0:2
|
2:0
|
2:1
|
|
07.11.2009 16:00
|
Manchester City – Burnley
|
1.32
|
4.73
|
10.01
|
1:0
|
3:1
|
3:0
|
|
07.11.2009 16:00
|
Tottenham – Sunderland
|
1.54
|
3.76
|
6.32
|
2:0
|
2:1
|
3:0
|
|
07.11.2009 18:30
|
Wolves – Arsenal
|
8.21
|
4.47
|
1.38
|
1:1
|
0:3
|
1:3
|
|
08.11.2009 14:30
|
Hull – Stoke
|
2.73
|
3.2
|
2.54
|
0:2
|
0:0
|
2:1
|
|
08.11.2009 16:00
|
West Ham – Everton
|
2.42
|
3.22
|
2.84
|
1:1
|
1:2
|
1:1
|
|
08.11.2009 16:00
|
Wigan – Fulham
|
2.27
|
3.21
|
3.11
|
1:0
|
1:1
|
0:0
|
|
08.11.2009 17:00
|
Chelsea – Manchester Utd
|
2.02
|
3.24
|
3.73
|
2:2
|
1:1
|
0:1
|
|
09.11.2009 21:00
|
Liverpool – Birmingham
|
1.33
|
4.63
|
9.72
|
0:2
|
2:1
|
5:1
|
Let the force be with us and who is better to win ( I have no doubts that will be Petya)
The heading is correct, no doubt at it. Believe it or not she got 4 perfect bets in a row. The system is clear. Every day, I ask her about a match, which I chose randomly and she give me the exact score. Until now she has two perfect scores and two right guesses of match winner.
The matches are Inter – Dinamo Kiev 2:2 (exact score); Milan – Real Madrid 1:1 (exact score); Dinamo Kiev – Inter 1:2 (she guessed 0:2) and Hamburger – Celtic 0:0 (she guessed 1:1). For today I asked her about Leverkusen – Frankfurt match and she predicted 1:0. Let see what will happen.
The story is going bigger and bigger. A friend of mine doesn’t believe me and challenged her to a big contest. They will both predict this weekend matches from England Premier League and we will see who is better – he or she
I definitely bet all my money for her.
The story will continue tomorrow.
OK, my method of making picks is ready to be used again, but I have several marks here. First of all I have made some filters to sort out which match will be used and which wouldn’t. However, those filters are not ready yet. They will be after a mount and then hotmatches will be 100% sure way of betting.
The other thing which is different is that I have change the percentage of every bet. I will use small bank now, just to try the system before all filters are ready, so my bet will be 10% of the bank.
I know it is too much, butwe will see.