Sports Betting Blog

19.01.2010

Who is the most overestimated team in NBA?

Filed under: Betting — admin @ 6:57

You know there is margin given by the bookies in every match in NBA. The idea of this margin is to make chances for both teams for winning the game even. I think here is a possibility for making money, cos not the players of the pitch decide who will win, but the house.

Here is a table about this margin in NBA, where you can see that some teams, like Lakers are really overestimated, but some teams like Atlanta are on opposition of that.

Here is the table:

Teams W L % %
Boston 16 21 43 57
New Jersey 13 26 33 67
New York 19 20 49 51
Philadelphia 17 22 44 56
Toronto 20 20 50 50
Dallas 17 22 44 56
Houston 23 17 58 43
Memphis 21 18 54 46
New Orleans 19 20 49 51
San Antonio 19 18 51 49
Chicago 18 18 50 50
Cleveland 20 21 49 51
Detroit 19 18 51 49
Indiana 17 22 44 56
Milwaukee 19 19 50 50
Denver 17 21 45 55
Minnesota 19 21 48 53
Portland 20 20 50 50
Oklahoma 24 16 60 40
Utah 24 16 60 40
Atlanta 26 13 67 33
Charlotte 20 15 57 43
Miami 18 18 50 50
Orlando 20 19 51 49
Washington 15 23 39 61
Golden State 19 19 50 50
LA Clippers 18 21 46 54
LA Lakers 17 24 41 59
Phoenix 20 20 50 50
Sacramento 22 15 59 41

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09.01.2010

Another profitable hotmaches sequence

Filed under: Betting — admin @ 7:22

Yesterday I decided that my goal in betting must be 20% pure profit. That means I will have to start another series of hotmatches betting, because after 52 matches the profit was above 30%.

So, the new sequence of matches begins today. Crossing fingers for another profitable one.

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01.01.2010

Bet on underdog at home in NBA – Don’t!

Filed under: Betting — admin @ 22:37

I read something about that way of betting which would be really profitable. The idea is simple where the underdog play at home bet for it and the margin that the bookies give.

Like most of those betting strategies this one doesn’t work or at least it does not work with NBA betting.

Here is my paper sheet with the first 100 matches where the underdog played at home. The ROI is 69.1% so I would lose 1/3 of my bank if I have been betting on that idea.

I started with 30 units and 3% of the bank for every bet.

Date
Match
Odds
Margin
Res.
Bank
+
All
%
ROI
13-Dec
Oklahoma – Cleveland
2.45
3.5
89:102
20.74
48
100
48.0
69.1
13-Dec
LA Clippers – San Antonio
2.9
5.5
90:115
21.74
48
99
48.5
72.5
13-Dec
Toronto – Houston
2.1
2
101:88
22.74
48
98
49.0
75.8
11-Dec
Toronto – Atlanta
2.55
4
89:111
21.84
47
97
48.5
72.8
11-Dec
Philadelphia – Houston
2.3
2.5
91:96
22.84
47
96
49.0
76.1
10-Dec
Detroit – Denver
3.5
7
101:99
23.84
47
95
49.5
79.5
10-Dec
Washington – Boston
3.6
7.5
102:104
22.93
46
94
48.9
76.4
10-Dec
Utah – Orlando
2.2
2.5
120:111
22.02
45
93
48.4
73.4
9-Dec
Minnesota – New Orleans
2.4
3
96:97
21.11
44
92
47.8
70.4
9-Dec
Houston – Cleveland
2.25
2.5
95:85
20.2
43
91
47.3
67.3
9-Dec
Indiana – Portland
2.6
4
91:102
19.29
42
90
46.7
64.3
8-Dec
LA Clippers – Orlando
3.4
7
86:97
20.29
42
89
47.2
67.6
8-Dec
Memphis – Cleveland
3.65
7.5
111:109
21.29
42
88
47.7
71.0
8-Dec
Charlotte – Denver
2.35
3
107:95
20.38
41
87
47.1
67.9
7-Dec
Philadelphia – Denver
3.35
6.5
83:93
19.47
40
86
46.5
64.9
7-Dec
New York – Portland
2.45
3.5
93:84
20.47
40
85
47.1
68.2
6-Dec
Sacramento – Miami
2.05
1.5
102:115
19.56
39
84
46.4
65.2
6-Dec
Milwaukee – Cleveland
3.35
6.5
86:101
20.56
39
83
47.0
68.5
5-Dec
Golden State – Orlando
4.75
9
118:126
21.56
39
82
47.6
71.9
5-Dec
Minnesota – Utah
3.65
7.5
108:101
20.65
38
81
46.9
68.8
4-Dec
New Jersey – Charlotte
2.35
3.5
97:91
19.74
37
80
46.3
65.8
4-Dec
Memphis – Dallas
3.2
5.5
98:82
18.83
36
79
45.6
62.8
4-Dec
Oklahoma – Boston
2.65
4.5
87:105
17.92
35
78
44.9
59.7
3-Dec
Golden State – Houston
2.05
1.5
109:111
18.92
35
77
45.5
63.1
2-Dec
LA Clippers – Houston
2.1
2
85:102
19.92
35
76
46.1
66.4
2-Dec
Minnesota – Memphis
2.35
3
95:97
20.92
35
75
46.7
69.7
2-Dec
New Jersey – Dallas
3.5
7
101:117
20.01
34
74
45.9
66.7
1-Dec
New York – Phoenix
3.6
7
126:99
21.01
34
73
46.6
70.0
1-Dec
Charlotte – Boston
2.55
4
90:108
20.1
33
72
45.8
67.0
29-Nov
New York – Orlando
3.1
6
102:114
21.1
33
71
46.5
70.3
29-Nov
Miami – Boston
2.55
4
85:92
22.1
33
70
47.1
73.7
29-Nov
Toronto – Phoenix
2.25
3
94:113
23.1
33
69
47.8
77.0
29-Nov
Detroit – Atlanta
3.2
6
94:88
24.1
33
68
48.5
80.3
28-Nov
Milwaukee – Orlando
3.3
6.5
98:100
23.19
32
67
47.8
77.3
28-Nov
Golden State – LA Lakers
4.75
9
97:130
22.28
31
66
47.0
74.3
27-Nov
Minnesota – Phoenix
5.25
9.5
95:120
23.28
31
65
47.7
77.6
27-Nov
Indiana – Dallas
2.25
3
92:113
24.28
31
64
48.4
80.9
27-Nov
Houston – San Antonio
2
1
84:92
25.28
31
63
49.2
84.3
27-Nov
Charlotte – Cleveland
2.8
5
94:87
26.28
31
62
50.0
87.6
27-Nov
Philadelphia – Atlanta
2.8
5
86:100
25.39
30
61
49.2
84.6
25-Nov
Minnesota – Denver
4.25
8.5
111:124
26.39
30
60
50.0
88.0
25-Nov
Detroit – Cleveland
2.85
5
88:98
27.39
30
59
50.8
91.3
22-Nov
Toronto O1 – Orlando U1
2.35
3.5
96:104
28.39
30
58
51.7
94.6
22-Nov
New York U2 – Boston U2
5.5
10
105:107
29.39
30
57
52.6
98.0
21-Nov
New Orleans O1 – Atlanta O4
2.7
4.5
96:88
28.48
29
56
51.8
94.9
20-Nov
LA Clippers U1 – Denver O1
4.75
9
106:99
27.57
28
55
50.9
91.9
20-Nov
Golden State U1 – Portland U1
4
8
108:94
26.66
27
54
50.0
88.9
20-Nov
Indiana U2 – Cleveland O5
2.75
5
95:105
25.75
26
53
49.1
85.8
19-Nov
New Orleans – Phoenix
3.75
8
110:103
26.75
26
52
50.0
89.2
18-Nov
Minnesota – Houston
3.05
5.5
84:97
25.84
25
51
49.0
86.1
18-Nov
Washington – Cleveland
2.7
4.5
108:91
26.84
25
50
50.0
89.5
17-Nov
Sacramento – Chicago
2.25
3
87:101
25.93
24
49
49.0
86.4
17-Nov
New Orleans – LA Clippers
2.05
2
110:102
26.93
24
48
50.0
89.8
17-Nov
New Jersey – Indiana
2.65
4.5
83:91
26.02
23
47
48.9
86.7
15-Nov
Detroit – Dallas
2.7
5
90:95
27.02
23
46
50.0
90.1
14-Nov
Charlotte – Portland
2.3
3
74:80
27.02
22
45
48.9
90.1
14-Nov
Indiana – Boston
3.5
7
113:109
28.02
22
44
50.0
93.4
13-Nov
LA Clippers – toronto
2.45
3.5
89:104
27.11
21
43
48.8
90.4
13-Nov
Sacramento – Houston
2.7
4.5
109:100
28.11
21
42
50.0
93.7
13-Nov
New Orleans – portland
2.3
3
78:86
27.2
20
41
48.8
90.7
13-Nov
minnesota – Dallas
6.5
11
77:89
28.2
20
40
50.0
94.0
11-Nov
San Antonio – Dallas
2.05
1.5
92:83
29.2
20
39
51.3
97.3
11-Nov
Milwaukee – Denver
2.5
3.5
108:102
28.29
19
38
50.0
94.3
11-Nov
Minnesota – Portland
4
8
84:107
27.38
18
37
48.6
91.3
11-Nov
New York – Atlanta
2.95
5.5
101:114
28.38
18
36
50.0
94.6
10-Nov
Sacramento – Oklahoma
2.15
2
101:98
29.38
18
35
51.4
97.9
10-Nov
Memphis – Portland
3.15
6.5
79:93
28.47
17
34
50.0
94.9
10-Nov
Chicago – Denver
2.3
3
89:90
29.47
17
33
51.5
98.2
10-Nov
Charlotte – Orlando
2.45
3.5
81:93
28.56
16
32
50.0
95.2
9-Nov
LA Clippers – New Orleans
2.15
2
84:112
29.56
16
31
51.6
98.5
9-Nov
New York – Utah
3
6
93:95
30.56
16
30
53.3
101.9
9-Nov
Philadelphia – Phoenix
2.15
2
115:119
29.65
15
29
51.7
98.8
8-Nov
Sacramento – Golden State
2.4
3.5
120:107
30.65
15
28
53.6
102.2
8-Nov
Oklahoma – Orlando
3.15
6
102:74
29.74
14
27
51.9
99.1
8-Nov
Washington – Phoenix
2.15
2
90:102
28.83
13
26
50.0
96.1
7-Nov
New Jersey – Boston
12
14
76:86
29.83
13
25
52.0
99.4
6-Nov
New York – Cleveland
4.25
8
91:100
28.92
12
24
50.0
96.4
6-Nov
Charlotte – Atlanta
2.2
2.5
103:83
29.92
12
23
52.2
99.7
4-Nov
Sacramento – Atlanta
2.9
5.5
105:113
29.01
11
22
50.0
96.7
4-Nov
Houston – LA Lakers
2.1
2
102:103
30.01
11
21
52.4
100.0
4-Nov
Minnesota – Boston
7.5
12
90:92
29.1
10
20
50.0
97.0
4-Nov
New Jersey – Denver
4.75
9
94:122
28.19
9
19
47.4
94.0
3-Nov
Oklahoma – LA Lakers
3.65
7.5
98:101
29.19
9
18
50.0
97.3
3-Nov
Detroit – Orlando
3.35
6.5
85:80
28.28
8
17
47.1
94.3
3-Nov
Philadelphia – Boston
3.6
7
74:105
27.37
7
16
43.8
91.2
3-Nov
Indiana – Denver
2.9
5.5
93:111
28.37
7
15
46.7
94.6
2-Nov
New York – New Orleans
2.25
2.5
117:111
29.37
7
14
50.0
97.9
1-Nov
Oklahoma – Portland
2.2
2.5
74:83
28.46
6
13
46.2
94.9
1-Nov
Toronto -

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