The new football database is really good I think. The first sequence gave 200% ROI just for 20 days. Of course, here I must say I used a small bank and 10% of it for every single bet. However, those 54% successful bets with average odds of about 2,2 is cool enough to make me feel good.
Now, I’ll start with bigger bank and 5% of it on every bet. Let’s see what will happen. The first matches is tonight.
%%awsomnews1%%
I was really surprised today when I checked the results from first seven rounds in English Premier League. It is really huge result and I am very dissapointed that I missed that profit.
69.7% of matches finished with wins for the favorites, 6.06% with draw and just 24.24% finished with win for the underdogs.
Now the question is will those result happen again in the next few rounds and the tendency will continue or we will see more underdogs wins? The other thing that a punter must think about is just 4 draws in 66 matches so far. What will happen with next matches?
%%awsomnews1%%
I am getting a bit lazy these days with just following WNBA Under
As I posted earlier I followed the soccer matches where the favorite had coefficient more than 2.2. The first few days the results were amazing. 53% of the games finished with wins for the favorites. Here are the final stats for the month.
Favorite’s wins = 46%
Draws = 25%
Underdog’s wins = 29%
All this is from 124 matches played in June. I must say here that those 124 matches would be played just for a weekend in regular football months as September for example.
%%awsomnews1%%
Is there something special in French League 1. I found an article in another blog that we shouldn
I found something that really hit me in the head. I started a paper sheet project a few weeks ago. Short explanation: the project is something about soccer betting on all favorites where the odds for them are over 2.2. What a big surprise came when I saw the first 60 games with more than 50% wins for the favorites. Here are the games:
|
1
|
Jap. Cup
|
Niigata – Yokohama
|
1
|
0:3
|
0
|
0
|
|
2
|
Jap. Cup
|
Kashiva – Kobe
|
1
|
3:0
|
1
|
50
|
|
3
|
Jap. 2nd
|
Yokohama – Fukuoka
|
1
|
0:1
|
1
|
33.33
|
|
4
|
Jap. 2nd
|
Gifu – Mito
|
2
|
1:1
|
1
|
25
|
|
5
|
World Cup
|
Costa Rika – USA
|
1
|
3:1
|
2
|
40
|
|
6
|
Bra.
|
Santo Andres – Santos
|
2
|
3:3
|
2
|
33.33
|
|
7
|
Pol. 2nd
|
Jastrzebie – Katowice
|
1
|
0:1
|
2
|
28.57
|
|
8
|
Pol. 2nd
|
Swinoujscie – Zaglebie
|
1
|
2:3
|
2
|
25
|
|
9
|
World Cup
|
North Korea – Iran
|
2
|
0:0
|
2
|
22.22
|
|
10
|
World Cup
|
Malawi – Burkina Faso
|
1
|
0:1
|
2
|
20
|
|
11
|
Cze. 2nd
|
Sparta Prague B – Dukla
|
1
|
1:0
|
3
|
27.27
|
|
12
|
World Cup
|
Gabon – Togo
|
1
|
3:0
|
4
|
33.33
|
|
13
|
World Cup
|
Macedonia – Norway
|
2
|
0:0
|
4
|
30.77
|
|
14
|
Ita. 2nd
|
Ancona – Rimini
|
1
|
1:1
|
4
|
28.57
|
|
15
|
World Cup
|
Lithuania – Romania
|
2
|
0:1
|
5
|
33.33
|
|
16
|
World Cup
|
Cyprus – Montenegro
|
1
|
2:2
|
5
|
31.25
|
|
17
|
World Cup
|
Uruguay – Brazil
|
2
|
0:4
|
6
|
35.29
|
|
18
|
World Cup
|
Trinidad & Tobago – Costa Rica
|
2
|
2:3
|
7
|
38.89
|
|
19
|
MLS
|
Kansas City – Columbus
|
1
|
0:2
|
7
|
36.84
|
|
20
|
Jap. Cup
|
Yamagata – Kashiwa
|
1
|
1:1
|
7
|
35
|
|
21
|
Jap. Cup
|
Kobe – Shimizu
|
2
|
1:2
|
8
|
38.1
|
|
22
|
Jap. 2nd
|
Toyama Kataller – Verdy
|
2
|
0:3
|
9
|
40.91
|
|
23
|
Jap. 2nd
|
Fukuoka – Kusatsu
|
1
|
1:2
|
9
|
39.13
|
|
24
|
Euro U21
|
Kazakhstan 21 – Montenegro 21
|
1
|
0:2
|
9
|
37.5
|
|
25
|
Swe. 2nd
|
Ljungskile – Norrk?ping
|
1
|
2:2
|
9
|
36
|
|
26
|
Nor. 2nd
|
Tromsdalen – H?nefoss
|
2
|
0:1
|
10
|
38.46
|
|
27
|
Nor. 2nd
|
Alta – Sarpsborg
|
1
|
3:0
|
11
|
40.74
|
|
28
|
Nor. 2nd
|
Stavanger IF – Bryne
|
2
|
0:2
|
12
|
42.86
|
|
29
|
Spa. 2nd
|
Eibar – Girona
|
2
|
2:2
|
12
|
41.38
|
|
30
|
Bra.
|
Sport Recife – Flamengo
|
1
|
4:2
|
13
|
43.33
|
|
31
|
Ita. 2nd
|
Grosseto – Livorno
|
1
|
2:0
|
14
|
45.16
|
|
32
|
World Cup
|
Mali – Ghana
|
1
|
0:2
|
14
|
43.75
|
|
33
|
World Cup
|
Algeria – Egypt
|
2
|
3:1
|
14
|
42.42
|
|
34
|
World Cup
|
Peru – Ecuador
|
2
|
1:2
|
15
|
44.12
|
|
35
|
Bra.
|
Fluminense – Botafogo
|
1
|
1:0
|
16
|
45.71
|
|
36
|
Swe. 2nd
|
Trollh?ttan FC – Angelholms
|
2
|
1:2
|
17
|
47.22
|
|
37
|
Swe. 2nd
|
Syrianska FC – Sundsvall
|
1
|
1:2
|
17
|
45.95
|
|
38
|
Lit.
|
Kruoja Pakruojis – Siauliai
|
2
|
0:5
|
18
|
47.37
|
|
39
|
Dan. 2nd
|
AB Copenhagen – Herfolge
|
1
|
0:4
|
18
|
46.15
|
|
40
|
Rom.
|
FC Brasov – FC Timisoara
|
2
|
1:0
|
18
|
45
|
|
41
|
Rom.
|
CS Otopeni – Farul
|
1
|
6:0
|
19
|
46.34
|
|
42
|
Rom.
|
G. Buzau – G. Bistrita
|
2
|
2:1
|
19
|
45.24
|
|
43
|
Rom.
|
Unirea – Steaua Bucharest
|
2
|
1:1
|
19
|
44.19
|
|
44
|
World Cup
|
Ecuador – Argentina
|
2
|
2:0
|
19
|
43.18
|
|
45
|
World Cup
|
Venezuela – Uruguay
|
2
|
2:2
|
19
|
42.22
|
|
46
|
Lat.
|
Daugava Riga – Tranzits Ventspils
|
1
|
2:0
|
20
|
43.48
|
|
47
|
Swe. 2nd
|
J?nk?pings – Mj?llby
|
2
|
0:3
|
21
|
44.68
|
|
48
|
Ita. 2nd
|
Brescia – Empoli
|
1
|
3:0
|
22
|
45.83
|
|
49
|
Bul.
|
Slavia Sofia – Lok. Sofia
|
2
|
2:2
|
22
|
44.9
|
|
50
|
Bul.
|
Spartak Varna – Litex Lovech
|
2
|
0:4
|
23
|
46
|
|
51
|
Ice.
|
Fjolnir – Fylkir
|
2
|
1:3
|
24
|
47.06
|
|
52
|
Nor. 2nd
|
H?nefoss – Ham-Kam
|
1
|
1:1
|
24
|
46.15
|
|
53
|
Ire. Cup
|
Tralee Dynamos – Salthill Devon
|
1
|
2:1
|
25
|
47.17
|
|
54
|
Spa. 2nd
|
Murcia – Salamanca
|
1
|
2:1
|
26
|
48.15
|
|
55
|
Rom. Cup
|
CFR Cluj – FC Timisoara
|
1
|
3:0
|
27
|
49.09
|
|
56
|
Bra.
|
Botafogo – Santos
|
1
|
2:0
|
28
|
50
|
|
57
|
MLS
|
DC United – Chicago
|
1
|
2:1
|
29
|
50.88
|
|
58
|
MLS
|
Kansas City – New England
|
1
|
3:1
|
30
|
51.72
|
|
59
|
MLS
|
Dallas – Houston
|
2
|
1:3
|
31
|
52.54
|
|
60
|
Jap. 2nd
|
Tochigi SC – Tosu
|
2
|
0:5
|
32
|
53.33
|
%%awsomnews1%%
In my last post I wrote about my research on soccer betting and my soccer database. It wasn’t good enough, but there is profit. I found out that I made a mistake with the way of betting and not with the games I picked.
So, if I’d bet on single for the underdogs, instead of doubles with draw, I would have 35 winners and ROI of 118.63% with 1% of the bank, used for every bet.
Of course this result is only from 100 matches. I will continue with searching.
%%awsomnews1%%
A few weeks ago I started a research using my soccer database. Until now I’ve used it only to find profit on favorites and there was some success. Betting on underdogs could be profitable too, but the punter must use the correct betting system and money management.
For my research I bet on 100 matches using doubles (draw and back the underdog) and only draws, using 3% on the bank on every bet. As a conclusion I can say that the draw betting was a mistake, I lost everything on the half way. The double betting was a bit better, but again with bad result. The ROI is about 80%. In the beginning the results were great and there was near 30% profit, but then the results got worse.
However, there is profit because 30+ of those games, predicted by my database as profitable when betting on underdogs finished with win for the underdogs. Most of the odds are high above 3, which will give good profit. I will check this later and I will try again.
Here is the table with matches:
|
Date
|
Campionship
|
Match
|
0.5
|
X K.
|
0.5 K.
|
Res.
|
X Bank
|
0.5 Bank
|
X +
|
0.5 +
|
No
|
X + %
|
0.5 + %
|
X ROI
|
0.5 ROI
|
|
6.06
|
MLS
|
Salt Lake – Colorado
|
X2
|
1.7
|
1:1
|
23.45
|
56
|
100
|
0.00
|
56.00
|
0.00
|
78.17
|
|||
|
6.06
|
Spa. 2nd
|
Albacete – Murcia
|
X2
|
1.58
|
0:0
|
22.75
|
55
|
99
|
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00
|
75.83
|
|||
|
6.06
|
World Cup
|
Macedonia – Norway
|
1X
|
1.55
|
0:0
|
22.17
|
54
|
98
|
0.00
|
55.10
|
0.00
|
73.90
|
|||
|
5.06
|
MLS
|
Chicago – Houston
|
X2
|
1.6
|
0:1
|
21.62
|
53
|
97
|
0.00
|
54.64
|
0.00
|
72.07
|
|||
|
5.06
|
Ire.
|
Galway – Drogheda
|
X2
|
1.6
|
1:1
|
20.62
|
52
|
96
|
0.00
|
54.17
|
0.00
|
68.73
|
|||
|
5.06
|
Ire.
|
Sligo – Derry City
|
1
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