I am staring at the numbers in the last two days with hope to find something that will give a clue about profitable betting. You know I hope to find some pattern which will lead me to profit in Finnish 1st league. I use results from past years and compare them to this one. I got some good guess on betting for the favorite with coefficients between 2.01 and 2.2, but unfortunately the first bet was unsuccessful
01.06.2009
29.05.2009
A new way of betting – Finnish 1st league
First of all I want to say that I know this is really strange method of betting, but it is fun. As I wrote two days ago, my idea is to check for patterns and to find some deviations. For example I can show you my post
15.05.2009
DNB and Hotmatches!
A month ago I thought Betsurf Hot Matches as small profitable, but secure way of betting. From the beginning of April till now the results are jumping like crazy animals
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12.05.2009
To bet on underdog draws using Betsurf database
I was too excited yesterday, but unfortunately I had to cool my head and to see the reality. The first 11 days of April showed ROI better than 120%, when I checked the system I wrote about yesterday. The result for the whole month are not so good with ROI 98.9%.
However, the system is interesting and I will continue on a paper sheet to see what will happen.
I will follow those matches using pure draw system and Asian handicap for the underdog. 3% of the bank will be used for every bet. Crossing fingers.
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11.05.2009
To make profit from soccer draws
I really think that I found something interesting for betting on draw games, using my soccer database. It is a funny story, because I searched for something else, which happened to be completely wrong, but at the end it was a happy end. Here is the story.
Until now, I use my soccer database searching for profit on betting for favorites. You can see the result in my section soccer hotmatches. The system is simple. When, I find a match where the odds for the favorite are better than the percents in my soccer database I bet on that team.
Yesterday, I decided to turn the page and to start searching for some profit betting on underdogs, using the same system. I checked the first eleven days of April and I found about 50 matches, then I checked the results. The ROI of betting on underdogs was really poor. Just 71%, but the draws in those matches was profitable.19 draws from 49 matches and 122.1% ROI.
I was even more amazed when I checked the results from yesterday. I found 11 matches that the soccer database shows as profitable underdogs and from those 11 matches
25.04.2009
How I
Few days ago I wanted to post about my previous sequence of 100 soccer hotmatches, where I got only 86% of ROI. The post would be with some stats and analysis why those bad results happened. However, the sequence now shows incredible results of 188% ROI, so I decided to write about the soccer database, which makes this result possible. I am pretty sure such a database is unique and I am also sure it can be profitable.
There is something I am not sure about and this is: Do I use that database correctly? I think that if a punter better than me take a look in it he or she will find some better way to bet.
OK, first of all few words about how I make it. You can easily see that the database is divided with sectors. Few of them represent the coefficient for the favorites and few of them shows some strange sectors. F.e. here is a part from the database:
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22.04.2009To bet on 4:4 draw for 401 coefficient Andrey Arshavin, taken from guardian.co.uk Yesterday he won with Liverpool and Arsenal and a week ago he made the same thing with the match between Chelsea and Liverpool. He has won one more time since the start of using this system and again the match was in England. The match was Arsenal versus Tottenham if my memories are correct. However, this system is not so profitable, even those 800 units he collected this week. I checked with Soccerstats tracker the results from more than 30 championships to find out the following: In season 2007/2008 there were only 14 games finished 4:4 draw and Aston Villa Chelsea and Tottenham made it twice. The season before that one
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19.04.2009Great day for Hot Matches :)Right now I am celebrating Easter with my family and friends, but I am really glad to spend few minutes and to write down a note for yesterday 13.04.2009Bad result in Hot MatchesUntil today Hot Matches was going great with profit in all sequence, but the last 102 games was not so good at all. The ROI is 89% with 1% of the bank for every bet and only 41% with 5% of the bank used for every bet. I must apologise to everyone who have used those picks and I hope there will be no more bad results. You can see the past results of Hot Matches here Right now I am doing some research about those 102 matches I have bet in that sequence with the idea to try to avoid losses, but I will post what I have found later. The reasons for that are two. First I want to take a deeper look and second, it’s 05.04.2009United always wins!!!Manchester United scored late goal to win against Aston Villa just few minutes ago. They probably will be on the first place in the Premier League after the last round, but this is not so important to me. Actually, as a fan of Arsenal this is awful situation, but this is the life. What is more important for me than this to see United again on the top is the next question. Do you know the fact that United is a team which has not have sequence of five games without a win in the last 10 years? I checked only the last ten, but there are may be more years without five games in a row without win for the red devils, which is great for martingale if you have enough money and balls to try it.
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