I made a research inspired by a betting forum article for using martingale with big favorites. The idea is simple you take 5 big guns and bet for them using martingale. I switch the research using another method, but with the same idea.
I bet on every favorite below 1.5 coefficient and using my soccer database to make selection. Where the odds shown by my database are higher than those given by the bookies I bet on this match.
The only condition is in the section of the database which I will use to have at least 20 games.
When two or more matches are being played at the same time I will bet on the first on the table in today
10.09.2009
A perfect example why we should avoid Martingale
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19.06.2009
10.06.2009
07.06.2009
Betting on underdogs using betsuf database
A few weeks ago I started a research using my soccer database. Until now I’ve used it only to find profit on favorites and there was some success. Betting on underdogs could be profitable too, but the punter must use the correct betting system and money management.
For my research I bet on 100 matches using doubles (draw and back the underdog) and only draws, using 3% on the bank on every bet. As a conclusion I can say that the draw betting was a mistake, I lost everything on the half way. The double betting was a bit better, but again with bad result. The ROI is about 80%. In the beginning the results were great and there was near 30% profit, but then the results got worse.
However, there is profit because 30+ of those games, predicted by my database as profitable when betting on underdogs finished with win for the underdogs. Most of the odds are high above 3, which will give good profit. I will check this later and I will try again.
Here is the table with matches:
|
Date
|
Campionship
|
Match
|
0.5
|
X K.
|
0.5 K.
|
Res.
|
X Bank
|
0.5 Bank
|
X +
|
0.5 +
|
No
|
X + %
|
0.5 + %
|
X ROI
|
0.5 ROI
|
|
6.06
|
MLS
|
Salt Lake – Colorado
|
X2
|
1.7
|
1:1
|
23.45
|
56
|
100
|
0.00
|
56.00
|
0.00
|
78.17
|
|||
|
6.06
|
Spa. 2nd
|
Albacete – Murcia
|
X2
|
1.58
|
0:0
|
22.75
|
55
|
99
|
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00
|
75.83
|
|||
|
6.06
|
World Cup
|
Macedonia – Norway
|
1X
|
1.55
|
0:0
|
22.17
|
54
|
98
|
0.00
|
55.10
|
0.00
|
73.90
|
|||
|
5.06
|
MLS
|
Chicago – Houston
|
X2
|
1.6
|
0:1
|
21.62
|
53
|
97
|
0.00
|
54.64
|
0.00
|
72.07
|
|||
|
5.06
|
Ire.
|
Galway – Drogheda
|
X2
|
1.6
|
1:1
|
20.62
|
52
|
96
|
0.00
|
54.17
|
0.00
|
68.73
|
|||
|
5.06
|
Ire.
|
Sligo – Derry City
|
1
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04.06.2009Mathematics and bettingRecently I’ve been reading a post in punterslounge forum about a football rating system. The posts there are really fascinating and throw me in deep thinking about maths and how we use it. However, I have read only 3 pages until now, because I have other stuff to do, but the post helped me with some fresh ideas, which I am going to give a try. I was really impressed with how we can use the idea of Gauss about Least Squares Approximations . Right now I have put all other betting stuff aside and just read about this method. I hope it will help me improve my results, which are quite bad these days. %%awsomnews1%%
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27.05.2009A new look into the gameAn interesting approach about betting occurred into my mind those days. I was away on travel, but I though a bit for betting. So, the point is for patterns in betting. I’m asking myself: “Is it possible bookies to have on their sheets we will make 23% underdog wins on 3.2 coefficient this year?”. Sounds a it silly, but who knows. However, I am checking now first 8 rounds in Finnish 1st Veiskkauliiga and there are some interesting patterns. %%awsomnews1%%
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12.05.2009To bet on underdog draws using Betsurf databaseI was too excited yesterday, but unfortunately I had to cool my head and to see the reality. The first 11 days of April showed ROI better than 120%, when I checked the system I wrote about yesterday. The result for the whole month are not so good with ROI 98.9%. However, the system is interesting and I will continue on a paper sheet to see what will happen. I will follow those matches using pure draw system and Asian handicap for the underdog. 3% of the bank will be used for every bet. Crossing fingers. %%awsomnews1%%
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26.03.2009A simple NBA betting systemNo football matches today, so it is perfect time for a NBA post. Now, it is about under-over betting and a system that I use and a system that gives me really good profit. It is really simple. First of all I follow all the matches in the league and write down on an excel table, for every team 23.03.2009Powered by WordPress |