I really think that I found something interesting for betting on draw games, using my soccer database. It is a funny story, because I searched for something else, which happened to be completely wrong, but at the end it was a happy end. Here is the story.
Until now, I use my soccer database searching for profit on betting for favorites. You can see the result in my section soccer hotmatches. The system is simple. When, I find a match where the odds for the favorite are better than the percents in my soccer database I bet on that team.
Yesterday, I decided to turn the page and to start searching for some profit betting on underdogs, using the same system. I checked the first eleven days of April and I found about 50 matches, then I checked the results. The ROI of betting on underdogs was really poor. Just 71%, but the draws in those matches was profitable.19 draws from 49 matches and 122.1% ROI.
I was even more amazed when I checked the results from yesterday. I found 11 matches that the soccer database shows as profitable underdogs and from those 11 matches – 5 were draw. Really good result, I think.
I will check tonight the last days of April with hope that this is really something and if it is, than … who knows. Bellow are the matches and after the table I wrote something for today’s matches.
Here are the matches from 1st to 11th of April.
|
1.4
|
WC Qual. Europe
|
Georgia – Montenegro
|
2
|
2.73
|
0:0
|
3.18
|
|
1.4
|
WC Quaf. N+C America
|
Costa Rica – Salvador
|
2
|
7.62
|
1:0
|
|
|
2.4
|
Eng. Conference
|
Wrexam – Barrow
|
2
|
4.71
|
1:1
|
3.46
|
|
4.4
|
Aus.
|
Altach – Reed
|
2
|
2.3
|
1:1
|
3.18
|
|
4.4
|
Bel. 2nd
|
OC Charleroi – Deinze
|
2
|
3.5
|
0:1
|
|
|
5.4
|
Bra. Paulista
|
Sao Caetano – Sao Paolo
|
1
|
3.57
|
2:2
|
3.23
|
|
5.4
|
Bra. Paulista
|
Ituano – Marilla
|
2
|
3.87
|
2:1
|
|
|
5.4
|
Cze. 2nd
|
Hradec – Most
|
2
|
3.2
|
2:0
|
|
|
5.4
|
Gre.
|
Thrasivoulos – Iraklis
|
1
|
3.38
|
1:1
|
2.97
|
|
5.4
|
Ita.
|
Cagliari – Catania
|
2
|
4.08
|
1:0
|
|
|
5.4
|
Neth.
|
Vitesse – De Graafschap
|
2
|
4.84
|
0:0
|
3.49
|
|
5.4
|
Nor.
|
Sanderfiord – Fredrikstad
|
2
|
2.63
|
1:1
|
3.27
|
|
5.4
|
Por.
|
Amadora – Benfica
|
1
|
4.89
|
1:2
|
|
|
5.4
|
Rus.
|
Lokomotiv M – Samara
|
2
|
4.11
|
2:1
|
|
|
6.4
|
Fra. 2nd
|
Amiens – Lans
|
1
|
3.09
|
0:0
|
2.86
|
|
6.4
|
Swi. 2nd
|
Winterthur – Lugano
|
1
|
3.73
|
2:2
|
3.31
|
|
7.4
|
Eng. League Two
|
Darligton – Wycombe
|
2
|
2.62
|
1:2
|
|
|
7.4
|
Rom.
|
G. Bistrita – Farul
|
2
|
4.65
|
1:0
|
|
|
7.4
|
Rom.
|
Pandurii – Steaua
|
1
|
3.06
|
2:0
|
|
|
8.4
|
Champions League
|
Liverpool – Chelsea
|
2
|
3.45
|
1:3
|
|
|
8.4
|
Copa Libertadores
|
Estudiantes – Cruzeiro
|
2
|
3.58
|
4:0
|
|
|
8.4
|
Serb.
|
Napredak – Habitfarm
|
2
|
3.05
|
0:0
|
3.05
|
|
8.4
|
Svk. 2nd
|
Prievidza – Inter Bratislava
|
2
|
3.15
|
2:2
|
2.98
|
|
8.4
|
Svk. 2nd
|
Sala – Podbrezova
|
1
|
3.05
|
-
|
|
|
9.4
|
Eng. Conference
|
Ebbsfleet – Kidderminster
|
1
|
2.61
|
1:1
|
3.22
|
|
9.4
|
Swi. 2nd
|
Thun – Wohlen
|
2
|
3.53
|
1:2
|
|
|
9.4
|
Swi. 2nd
|
Yverdon – Winterthur
|
2
|
3.71
|
0:4
|
|
|
10.4
|
Aus.
|
Mattersburg – Altach
|
2
|
3.2
|
5:4
|
|
|
10.4
|
Fra. 2nd
|
Brest – Dijon
|
2
|
3.36
|
1:2
|
|
|
11.4
|
Arg.
|
Godoy – Gimnasia
|
2
|
3.78
|
2:2
|
3.26
|
|
11.4
|
Bel. 2nd
|
Waasland – FC Liege
|
2
|
3.61
|
2:1
|
|
|
11.4
|
Bel. 2nd
|
Ronse – St.Truiden
|
1
|
3.59
|
1:5
|
|
|
11.4
|
Cro.
|
NK Zagreb – Osijek
|
2
|
2.99
|
1:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
Cyp.
|
AEL Limassol – Omonia
|
1
|
4.81
|
2:3
|
|
|
11.4
|
Eng. League One
|
Walsall – Tranmere
|
1
|
2.73
|
-
|
|
|
11.4
|
Eng. League One
|
Barnet – Bournemouth
|
2
|
2.72
|
1:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
Eng. Conference
|
Mansfield – Barrow
|
2
|
3.81
|
2:2
|
3.36
|
|
11.4
|
Fra.
|
Auxerre – Bordeaux
|
1
|
3.31
|
0:2
|
|
|
11.4
|
Jap. 2nd
|
Kofu – Kusatso
|
2
|
3.72
|
1:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
North. Ire.
|
Crusaders – Distillery
|
2
|
3
|
1:1
|
3.2
|
|
11.4
|
North. Ire.
|
Newry Town – Dungannon
|
2
|
3
|
2:2
|
3.2
|
|
11.4
|
Pol. 2nd
|
Swinoujscie – Podbeskidzie
|
2
|
2.64
|
2:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
Rom.
|
FC Timisoara – U. Craiova
|
1
|
3.65
|
1:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
Rus.
|
Kuban – Tomsk
|
2
|
3.41
|
0:0
|
2.9
|
|
11.4
|
Serb.
|
Habitfarm – Cukaricki
|
2
|
4.77
|
2:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
Slo.
|
Interblock – Gorica
|
2
|
2.96
|
1:2
|
|
|
11.4
|
Spa. 2nd
|
Eibar – Real Sociedad
|
1
|
3.03
|
1:1
|
2.9
|
|
11.4
|
Spa. 2nd
|
Castellon – Zaragosa
|
1
|
2.88
|
1:1
|
2.92
|
|
11.4
|
Swi. 2nd
|
Concordia – Nyonnais
|
2
|
3.56
|
2:1
|
|
|
11.4
|
Swi. 2nd
|
Biel – Lugano
|
1
|
3.69
|
0:3
|
|
|
11.4
|
Tur.
|
Bursaspor – Ankaragucu
|
2
|
2.82
|
2:0
|
|
|
11.4
|
Ukr.
|
Tavria – Kryvbas
|
2
|
4.95
|
0:1
|
Here the matches from yesterday:
|
10.5
|
Por.
|
Porto – Nacional
|
Х
|
4.16
|
1:0
|
|
10.5
|
Arg.
|
Rosario – Newell’s Old Boys
|
Х
|
3.16
|
1:1
|
|
10.5
|
Pol. 2nd
|
Plock – Swinoujscie
|
Х
|
3.16
|
1:2
|
|
10.5
|
Rom.
|
Unirea – CFR Cluj
|
Х
|
3.01
|
1:1
|
|
10.5
|
Tur.
|
Kayserispor – Gaziantepspor
|
Х
|
3.08
|
3:0
|
|
10.5
|
Fin. 2nd
|
Kiisto Vaasa – KPV
|
Х
|
3.23
|
0:1
|
|
10.5
|
Por. 2nd
|
Varzim – Estoril
|
Х
|
3.17
|
0:3
|
|
10.5
|
Cze. 2nd
|
Most – Dukla
|
Х
|
2.94
|
1:0
|
|
10.5
|
Neth.
|
Nijmegen – Sparta
|
Х
|
3.52
|
1:1
|
|
10.5
|
Neth.
|
De Graafschap – Volendam
|
Х
|
3.27
|
2:2
|
|
10.5
|
Dan.
|
Sonderjyske – Vejle
|
Х
|
3.25
|
0:0
|
Of course, I checked today’s matches, only to find out that there is only one game that fits. This is the match from Italian Serie B between Treviso and Vicenza. Crossing fingers.
[...] head and to see the reality. The first 11 days of April showed ROI better than 120%, when I checked the system I wrote about yesterday. The result for the whole month are not so good with ROI [...]
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